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Early (but Not Too Soon) General Election Predictions

By Rev. Donald L. Perryman, Ph.D.
The Truth Contributor

   In politics, as in other things, there is no such thing as one getting something for nothing.

                 -  A. Philip Randolph

 

Rev. Donald L. Perryman, D.Min.

With the delayed Ohio 2020 primary election now complete, local politicians and their operatives now focus their attention on the general election. Here is my very early (but not too soon) peek at how local elections might unfold come November 3.

1.     Democratic Party Chair: Mike Ashford. First things first! The Dems have to have a functioning party to turn out voters to support its candidates and to get behind issues such as the TARTA levy and the failed Issue One. Longtime attorney Keith Mitchell seeks the nod and is supported by Local 500’s charismatic and influential leader David Fleetwood. However, Mike Ashford has assembled a powerful coalition that includes the Building Trades who like the results he provided them while serving in the State Legislature. Look for the Party to elect Ashford in late May or early June and put its campaign operations in gear.

2.     Issue One: Renew 0.75  tax. Unofficial results predict Issue One’s defeat in the just concluded primary despite a 3 to 1 turnout advantage by Dems over Republicans. The initiative, obviously, did not obtain the support it needed from its traditional backers.  Early momentum on the initiative was indeed squelched by the COVID-19 pandemic, as Mayor Kapszukiewicz asserts. Yet the City has only itself to blame for a bewildering messaging strategy where voters struggled to understand whether the focus was education, streets, or police and fire.  Taxes for Toledoans are near the top in the state of Ohio. Yet, look for the City to ask for voters to renew the 0.75 percent tax in November without asking for an additional raise. Budget woes resulting from the pandemic will cause the City to make do without the latest and greatest equipment, mow grass less frequently, curtail nuisance calls and reduce the jail population. However, the administration must find a way to pave roads and maintain safety forces.

3.     Lucas County Sheriff: Mike Navarre. The Democratic primary race was predicated on name recognition. In selecting Mike Navarre over closest challenger Gary Johnson, voters indicated that they wanted a Sheriff with an extensive law enforcement background, a name they could trust and who possessed real administrative experience in the public sector. The Navarre name resonates with the voting public who remember Mike Navarre as Toledo’s former Chief of Police where he served honorably under several mayors. As the Democratic Party nominee, Navarre will have the entire Party machine as well as his defeated primary challenger, a “humbled” Gary Johnson, behind him doing whatever they can to get him elected. Look for Navarre to prevail in November over equally prominent candidate Earl Mack who is running as an Independent.

4.     Lucas County Treasurer: Lindsay Webb. I can’t think of the name of her opponent or even if Webb has one. There’s your answer. Webb wins. Name recognition is a powerful tool.

5.     Lucas County Recorder: Veteran politician Phil Copeland gets the nod over Republican, Pam Haynam, a virtual unknown in Lucas County.

6.     Lucas County Commissioner: Pete Gerken and Tina Skeldon-Wozniak, in what could conceivably be their “Last Dance,” win handily over Ron Murphy and Tom Names, respectively.

7.     Other Notables: Toledo Favorite Son Judge Myron Duhart, wins election to the 6th District Court of Appeals. Marcy Kaptur continues her long and honorable career of service in the U.S. House of Representatives; Political stalwart Julia Bates continues as Lucas County Prosecutor and likable politician Bernie Quilter extends his service as Clerk of the Court of Common Pleas.

Contact Rev. Donald Perryman, D.Min, at drdlperryman@centerofhopebaptist.org

 

 

 
  

Copyright © 2019 by [The Sojourner's Truth]. All rights reserved.
Revised: 05/07/20 16:24:19 -0400.

 

 


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